(for English text see below)
Martedì 19 settembre p.v., alle ore 9.15
presso l’Accademia d’Ungheria in Roma si terrà il Simposio sulla
sostenibilità globale (Symposium on
Global Sustainability), organizzato dall’Università Cattolica Péter Pázmány e dal suo gruppo di lavoro CPSES (Centro per l'Ingegneria dei Sistemi di Processo e la
Sostenibilità).
Nel corso del
Simposio - che si svolgerà in lingua
inglese - verrà illustrato il progetto
avviato dall’Agenzia per la protezione dell'ambiente
degli Stati Uniti (US EPA) nel
2005 e continuato tra il 2010 ed il 2015 sotto la
supervisione congiunta del Dr. Urmila
Diwekar, Istituto di Ricerca Vishwamitra di Chicago e del professor Heriberto Cabezas (Centro per l'Ingegneria dei Sistemi di
Processo e la Sostenibilità (CPSES) dell’Università Cattolica Péter
Pázmány.
Si tratta di una
rappresentazione matematica delle principali dinamiche del Mondo, ispirata al
modello "Limits to Growth” di Meadows, D. H., Meadows, D. L., Randers, J.,
& Behrens, W. W. (1972 ). Il modello matematico
comprende l’ecosistema, la popolazione umana, l'industria, la generazione di
energia, la macroeconomia e i rudimenti di un sistema giuridico con proprietà
privata, fiscalità e regolamentazione.
Data: 19
settembre p.v. ore 9.15 - 17.30
Luogo: Accademia d’Ungheria in Roma
(Palazzo Falconieri – Via Giulia, 1)
Relatori:
Fr. Anzelm Szuromi, Rettore dell’Università Cattolica
Péter Pázmány
S.Em.a R.ma Card. Peter Kodwo Appiah Turkson, Dicastero
per il Servizio Integrale per lo Sviluppo
Umano
Urmila
Diwekar, Presidente e fondatore del Vishwamitra Research Institute
Heriberto Cabezas, Professore presso l’Università
Cattolica Péter Pázmány
Diogo Bolster, Professore dell’Università di Notre Dame
Alex
Mayer, Professore della Michigan Technological University
Ferenc Friedler, Professore presso l’Università Cattolica
Péter Pázmány
* * *
Symposium on Global Sustainability
Pazmany Peter Catholic University
Center for Process Systems Engineering
and Sustainability
September 19th, 2017
Hungarian Academy Rome
Via Giulia 1, 00186 Rome, Italy
A mathematical
representation of the major dynamics of the World, inspired by the “Limits to
Growth” model, has been under construction. The mathematical model includes an
ecosystem, human population, industry, energy generation, macro-economy, and
rudiments of a legal system with private property, taxation, and regulation. Details
of the model can be found in the scientific literature. The project was
initiated at the US EPA in 2005, from 2010 to 2015 it proceeded under the joint
supervision of Dr. Urmila Diwekar from the Vishwamitra Research Institute in
Chicago, Illinois, USA and Professor Heriberto Cabezas from the Center for
Process Systems Engineering and Sustainability (CPSES) at the Pazmany Peter
Catholic University (PPCU). The project is now housed at the CPSES at PPCU. Several
publications have resulted effort, two are cited here.
The mathematical model
is sufficiently developed to provide general policy guidance including that:
(1) we have approximately 100 years to implement sustainability in a manner
that avoids major catastrophes in human societies and the environment, (2) it
is necessary to manage at least six parameters that represent policies and
technologies to keep societies stable for about two hundred years, and (3)
sustainability policy must be updated regularly, about every ten years to
adjust to changing conditions.
CPSES-PPCU Workgroup:
To further develop
the model so it can inform decisions on specific issues at the global, regional
and local level, the CPSES at PPCU organized the multidisciplinary Workgroup on
Global Sustainability. This workgroup brings substantial expertise to the
problem in the areas of process graph (P-graph) theory for network synthesis,
information theory for complex system analysis, ecological economics, systems
ecology, computer simulation based on both continuous and agent-based models,
optimal control algorithms, and law and ethics. This a powerful combination
expertise not commonly found in research groups elsewhere. It is the intent to
focus this considerable expertise in a major effort find solutions to
sustainability rather stopping at problem characterization. This means to
develop powerful theories embedded in computer-based methods capable of finding
combinations of policies, technologies, and practices that can create pathways
for moving human society towards sustainability. In summary, we propose to use
modern science to develop the tools that will make it possible to achieve many
of the goals outlined in Laudato si’.
CPSES-PPCU Workgroup
Members:
Fr. Anselm Szuromi,
D.Sc. (Co-Leader) Pazmany Peter
Catholic University, Hungary
Heriberto Cabezas,
Ph.D. (Co-Leader) Pazmany Peter
Catholic University, Hungary
Ferenc Friedler,
Ph.D. (Mathematics) Pazmany
Peter Catholic University, Hungary
Emoke Korzenszky,
Ph.D. (Global Issues) Pazmany Peter
Catholic University, Hungary
Urmila Diwekar,
Ph.D. (Modeling) Vishwamitra Research Institute, USA
Audrey Mayer,
Ph.D. (Ecology) Michigan
Technological University, USA
Joshua Farley,
Ph.D. (Economics) University of
Vermont, USA
Yogendra Shastri,
Ph.D. (Modeling) Indian
Institute of Technology, India
CPSES-PPCU Workgroup
Collaborators:
Diogo Bolster,
Ph.D. (Engineering) University
of Notre Dame, USA
Symposium Goals:
The
CPSES Workgroup of PPCU has wide expertise across several disciplines including
engineering, economics, ecology, and social science. The work will potentially
have wide-ranging implications for decisions involving policy and technology. Hence,
it is important to initiate a public dialog early in the process. To this
purpose, the Symposium has the following goals:
- Provide a detailed briefing to the Holy See on the efforts of the Workgroup.
- Conduct a public discussion of the proposed effort.
- Initiate the public dialog which should eventually lead to a level of consensus.
Product:
Summary
report documenting the main conclusions from the Symposium.
Symposium Program:
09:15 Registration
09:35 Welcome Fr.
A. Szuromi, Rector
Pazmany
Peter Catholic University
09:45 Message of H.Em. Card. Peter K.A. Turkson
Dicastery for the Service
of the Integral Human Development
10:00 Encyclical letter Laudato si' as 'Constitution'
Fr. A. Szuromi,
Rector (Pazmany Peter Catholic University)
on
Responsibility of Global Sustainability
10:45 Coffee
Break
11:00 Workgroup
on Global Sustainability
H. Cabezas,
Professor (Pazmany Peter Catholic University)
11:45 Science
Serving Society - The Environmental
D.
Bolster, Professor ( Change
Initiative at the University of Notre Dame, University of Notre Dame)
12:30 Lunch
14:00 Ecology
and Sustainability
A. Mayer,
Professor (Michigan Technological University)
14:45 Network
Synthesis for Sustainability
F. Friedler,
Professor (Pazmany Peter Catholic University)
15:30 Coffee
Break
15:45 Options
Theory and Optimal Control
U. Diwekar,
President and Founder (Vishwamitra Research Institute)
16:30 Summary
Discussion
(A. Szuromi/H. Cabezas)
17:15 Next
Steps
(A. Szuromi/H.
Cabezas)
17:30 Conclusions
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